Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111905 0.120061 0.128508 0.137913 0.148100 0.158808 0.170922
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.096959 0.108723 0.121520 0.136500 0.153590 0.172520 0.195127
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.086496 0.099882 0.114930 0.133152 0.154689 0.179419 0.210084
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081596 0.096546 0.113817 0.135330 0.161526 0.192540 0.232255
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.075555 0.091229 0.109755 0.133387 0.162898 0.198757 0.245960
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070792 0.087029 0.106613 0.132130 0.164726 0.205274 0.260002
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065735 0.082097 0.102188 0.128861 0.163625 0.207786 0.268743
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.062099 0.078707 0.099443 0.127461 0.164680 0.212905 0.280910
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059501 0.076473 0.098003 0.127587 0.167603 0.220451 0.296529
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056307 0.073282 0.095124 0.125597 0.167499 0.223807 0.306409
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053853 0.070936 0.093220 0.124769 0.168846 0.229083 0.319089
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053265 0.071045 0.094572 0.128394 0.176442 0.243282 0.345113
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050951 0.068748 0.092610 0.127402 0.177603 0.248604 0.358766
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048692 0.066434 0.090527 0.126140 0.178308 0.253287 0.371715
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046013 0.063410 0.087308 0.123075 0.176189 0.253660 0.378032
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045137 0.062892 0.087591 0.125068 0.181571 0.265342 0.402298
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043163 0.060713 0.085394 0.123290 0.181179 0.268229 0.412822
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041506 0.058924 0.083682 0.122139 0.181650 0.272400 0.425522
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039424 0.056432 0.080839 0.119146 0.179117 0.271728 0.430222
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037945 0.054778 0.079169 0.117865 0.179173 0.275092 0.441686
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036931 0.053777 0.078432 0.117980 0.181413 0.282001 0.459386
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035463 0.052037 0.076512 0.116158 0.180450 0.283637 0.468117
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034346 0.050794 0.075302 0.115399 0.181160 0.288013 0.481756